Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.160600 0.171832 0.183570 0.196775 0.211244 0.226645 0.244316
2026-02-01 0.143221 0.159917 0.178368 0.200378 0.226057 0.255241 0.291160
2026-02-08 0.130078 0.149229 0.171165 0.198358 0.231452 0.270799 0.321690
2026-02-15 0.121257 0.142139 0.166753 0.198238 0.237921 0.286932 0.353091
2026-02-22 0.112417 0.134061 0.160171 0.194432 0.238877 0.295549 0.374897
2026-03-01 0.106330 0.128779 0.156430 0.193569 0.243052 0.308066 0.402317
2026-03-08 0.101887 0.125166 0.154396 0.194520 0.249347 0.323476 0.434632
2026-03-15 0.096448 0.119894 0.149813 0.191644 0.250046 0.330980 0.455983
2026-03-22 0.092181 0.115874 0.146572 0.190251 0.252506 0.340876 0.481394
2026-03-29 0.089853 0.114256 0.146376 0.192924 0.260731 0.359477 0.521512
2026-04-05 0.086194 0.110641 0.143240 0.191204 0.262359 0.368243 0.546727
2026-04-12 0.082780 0.107186 0.140127 0.189281 0.263462 0.376129 0.571008
2026-04-19 0.079198 0.103389 0.136409 0.186346 0.262947 0.381602 0.592048
2026-04-26 0.077925 0.102753 0.137120 0.189964 0.272697 0.404078 0.644696
2026-05-03 0.075082 0.099763 0.134292 0.188069 0.273605 0.412105 0.672291
2026-05-10 0.072961 0.097708 0.132713 0.187958 0.277292 0.424931 0.709894
2026-05-17 0.070013 0.094340 0.129050 0.184405 0.275104 0.427484 0.728127
2026-05-24 0.068005 0.092264 0.127210 0.183600 0.277370 0.437872 0.762599
2026-05-31 0.066569 0.090969 0.126476 0.184488 0.282491 0.453635 0.809504
2026-06-07 0.064295 0.088346 0.123619 0.181803 0.281307 0.457811 0.832838
2026-06-14 0.062495 0.086371 0.121675 0.180502 0.282424 0.466271 0.866124
2026-06-21 0.061718 0.085906 0.122035 0.182998 0.290349 0.488110 0.931194
2026-06-28 0.060007 0.083960 0.120006 0.181392 0.290798 0.495545 0.964693